Bashar al-Assad has been defeated by Islamic rebels in Syria and has been forced to leave the country. The overthrow of the Assad government under the leadership of the Islamic group Hayat Tahrir al-Sham (HTS) is a major event for the region. While the coup in Syria is beneficial for America, Israel and Turkey, it is a big blow for Russia, Iran and its ally Hezbollah. Who benefits from the fall of Assad? Syrian President Bashar al-Assad had been a thorn in the eyes of America, Türkiye and Israel because of his alliance with Russia and Iran. Now after his downfall these countries are very happy. Related news Regarding the fall of Assad, US President Joe Biden said that Assad’s departure was just after decades of repression but it is also a time of risk and uncertainty for the Middle East. America and Europe are encouraged: For America, the fall of Assad will help in countering terrorism, reducing Iranian influence and promoting stability in the Middle East. The fall of Assad is a morale booster for the US and Europe as Russia and Iran have been weakened by the loss of an important ally in the region. This is a welcome step for America’s newly elected President Donald Trump and his Western allies. Market strategist Bill Blaine, speaking to an American news channel, said, ‘The new reality is that when Donald Trump takes office on January 20, 2025, he will get a situation where the opponents will be very weak and the ball will be very much in America’s court. Will be in. This does not mean that the world has become less dangerous – it is entirely unclear what kind of new Syria would arise from overthrowing Assad – but it does seem that the center of power and the global order is shifting back towards the West. Is.’ Blaine said the fall of Assad and the “defeat” of Russia and Iran in the process would impact the markets because it would remove fears about the dollar’s dominance. Also, Trump’s thinking regarding global trade will expand. Blaine says that in both cases America and the US dollar will be kept front and center. Europe can also benefit from the change of regime in Syria because it will reduce the number of displaced Syrian refugees in Europe. Türkiye also benefits: Talking about Turkey, some analysts say that Turkey is also involved somewhere in the Syrian coup. Türkiye used to help rebel groups against the Assad government. Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan and Bashar al-Assad were once friends, but when the civil war in Syria began 14 years ago, Erdogan supported rebel groups because Turkey’s geopolitical rival Iran came to support Assad. . Türkiye has been the main patron of Syria’s armed Islamic opposition groups. As the war progressed, the Turkish-backed rebels in Syria became stronger. The fall of Assad will now help Erdogan to pursue his geopolitical agenda. This will help them achieve several strategic targets, one of which includes curbing Kurdish separatists in northeastern Syria. Syrian Kurdish separatists work together with Turkish Kurdish separatists to create unrest in Turkey, which is a headache for Erdogan. Turkish businessmen will also benefit from the reconstruction work of Syria devastated by the civil war. Israel is also happy, Israel will clearly benefit from Assad being out of power. The fall of the Assad government is a major sign of the weakness of Iran’s regional power. Due to this, the axis of resistance that Iran had created against America and its Western allies has weakened. After Assad, Iran will no longer be able to deliver weapons and rations to its Lebanon-based proxy group Hezbollah because it will no longer be able to use Syrian land for this purpose. Without Iran’s help, Hezbollah will become weaker against Israel, which is good news for Israel. The fall of Bashar al-Assad is a big blow to Iran and Russia. Russia and Iran together saved Bashar al-Assad’s government from falling in 2015. With the help of Iran-controlled Shia militias and Russian bombing, Assad was able to recapture the city of Aleppo from the rebels. BlueBay Asset Management strategist Timothy Ash says the fall of Assad in Syria is an increase in misfortune for Islamic State Iran as Israel has already weakened its proxy groups, Hezbollah in Lebanon and Hamas in the Gaza Strip. Ash says, ‘Iran’s situation is going from bad to worse because after Hezbollah, their another proxy, Assad, has fallen.’ Whereas, if we talk about Russia, Russia’s strongest position in the Middle East was in Syria. Russia had built a large-scale military presence in Syria, which has now ended with Assad. This means that Russia’s strategic and military hold in the Middle East has weakened. Christopher Phillips of Chatham House, a Britain-based think tank, said, ‘Hezbollah has been wiped out in the war with Israel. Due to this, Iran has also become very weak. At the same time, Russia has also sent most of its army to the war with Ukraine. None of Assad’s allies could help him like before, which led to his downfall.
